MMA Betting Strategies

mma betting

When betting on MMA, the key to success is conducting thorough research and developing a strategy. This includes analyzing fighters and making observations during training camp. In addition, paying attention to a fighter’s weigh-ins can reveal valuable insights into their performance during the fight. For example, a fighter who struggles to maintain their weight during the weight cut may be less prepared for the fight than a fighter who is on track to make their desired weight.

In mma betting, the most common bet is a moneyline wager. This type of bet pays out if a fighter wins the fight. Unlike the point spread in football, MMA moneylines do not feature a favorite and underdog. The odds for each fighter are based on how likely the sportsbook believes that a fighter will win the fight, with favorites carrying a plus sign while underdogs carry a minus sign.

Mma prop bets, round bets, method of victory bets and inplay betting are also popular MMA betting options. These bets offer greater precision than moneylines and over/unders, but they also come with a higher risk and lower payout. It is important to choose a reputable online MMA bookmaker with competitive odds and a variety of betting markets.

Understanding a fighter’s stats is crucial when betting on MMA matches. Stats such as striking accuracy, strikes landed, and strikes absorbed can help bettors determine which fighter is the more dominant striker. These metrics are especially helpful in evaluating light heavyweight and heavyweight fighters.

A fighter’s fighting style can also impact their chances of winning a particular match. A fighter who relies on submission tactics to win fights is more likely to end a fight early, while a fighter who prefers to land power shots is more suited for longer bouts. Observing a fighter’s previous fights can provide insight into their fighting style and what to expect during upcoming bouts.

Occasionally, a fighter will pull out of a fight before the match begins and a replacement will be called in to take their place. Throughout UFC history, replacement fighters have won less than 40% of their fights, making them a risky betting option. A deeper dive into a fighter’s training camp can reveal valuable insights into their performance in the upcoming bout, including whether they have been working on a specific body part ahead of the fight or if they have been dealing with an injury.

Mma fights usually last three rounds, but there are a few ways that the fight could end. A KO or TKO is a clear winner, while a DQ or submission win will also yield a profitable bet. However, a fight can also end in a decision. The referee can stop the fight if a fighter is clearly struggling to continue, but a decision is only a safe bet if both fighters are equally matched.